The relationship between climatic drought andlocation of rural areas (Case Study: Zanjan Province)

Journal of Research and Rural Planning

مقاله 5، دوره 2، شماره 1 - شماره پیاپی 3، شهریور 2013، صفحه 187-209   

نوع مقاله: علمی

شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22067/jrrp.v2i3.19664

نویسندگان

mohammad gholami؛ yaser hakimdust^* ؛ mousa rastegar

چکیده

Drought has different effects on human life and livelihood groups.This study the characteristics of drought and the zoning was done in the Zanjan province is the kriging model than Phenomenon to the effects of drought on the rural site selection consideration.Drought has different effects on human life and livelihood groups.This study the characteristics of drought and the zoning was done in the Zanjan province is the kriging model than Phenomenon to the effects of drought on the rural site selection consideration For this purpose, index SPI, an index of climate and to determine the shortage of rainfall on the scale of time have applications and can scale of time the effects of drought on the location setting of villages show, were selected. Methods In this article, experimental, deductive and analytical and is combined and using ARC GIS and SPSS software to analyze and using inferential statistical methods and calculate the Pearson correlation between drought and rural locations has been switching.The results show that the optimal model for ordinary kriging model spherical zonation drought in the province is with the ratio ./89. Studies show that 615 villages in Zanjan Province, about 256016 inhabitants are at risk of drought risks are located.Analyze and calculate the correlation between drought and place rural setting shows, with more to come downstairs in a drought zoning, number about 31 villages and 15730 population were also decreased. Pearson respectively marshal numbers -0/55,-0/62 show that the inverse correlation is significant.

کلیدواژه‌ها

drought؛ SPI index؛ Geo-statistical؛ rural location؛ Zanjan