به‌کارگیری الگوی قیمت‌گذاری پویای بیزین افق محدود (FHBD) در تعیین دامنه تمایل به پرداخت برای منابع طبیعی منطقه‌ای غیر بازاری؛ (مطالعه موردی: مجموعه گردشگری چالیدره مشهد)

اقتصاد و توسعه منطقه ای

مقاله 4، دوره 24، شماره 13، خرداد 1396، صفحه 46-67   

نوع مقاله: مقالات پژوهشی

شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22067/erd.v24i14.64896

نویسندگان

مهدی قائمی اصل^{* 1}؛ صادق بافنده ایماندوست²؛ الهام دشتی³

¹دانشگاه خوارزمی

²دانشگاه پیام‌نور

³دانشجوی کارشناسی ارشد علوم اقتصادی، دانشگاه پیام‌نور

چکیده

ارزش‌گذاری کمتر از حد خدمات گردشگری منطقه‌ای در دنیای کنونی، منجر به تخصیص غیربهینه منابع و برنامه‌ریزی‌های ناصحیح می‌شود. در این پژوهش با محوریت مجموعه گردشگری چالیدره مشهد، از یک الگوی پویای بیزین افق محدود (FHBD) برای تعیین دامنه تمایل به پرداخت برای منابع طبیعی منطقه‌ای غیر بازاری استفاده شده است. بدین منظور در این پژوهش از داده‌های پرسشنامه‌ای، الگوی لاجیت و پیشین‌های Gamma و Two-Point با توزیع‌های تمایل به پرداخت نمایی و نرمال استفاده شده است. نتایج نشان می‌دهد که متوسط تمایل به پرداخت برای بهره‌برداری عمومی از این مجموعه در دامنه حداقلی 12230 ریال در پیشینGamma و دامنه حداکثری 45270 ریال، در پیشین Two-Point قرار دارد و در الگوی غیربیزین نیز، رقم تمایل به پرداخت به 10632 ریال کاهش پیدا می‌کند. بنابراین به‌کارگیری الگوریتم FHBD در قیمت‌گذاری می‌تواند راه‌کار مناسبی برای تعیین مبلغ آستانه‌ای تمایل به پرداخت برای بهره‌برداری از منابع طبیعی باشد.

کلیدواژه‌ها

قیمت گذاری پویا؛ الگوی بیزین؛ گردشگری منطقه ای؛ منابع طبیعی غیربازاری

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