بررسی علل عدم پیشرفت روسیه در جنگ ترکیبی با اوکراین

پژوهش نامه ایرانی سیاست بین الملل

دوره 13، شماره 1 - شماره پیاپی 25، دی 1403، صفحه 99-75   

نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی

شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22067/irlip.2024.84671.1446

نویسندگان

یونس مسعودیان^{* 1}؛ قاسم ترابی²

¹گروه علوم سیاسی - دانشکده امام صادق(ع)- دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی - همدان - ایران

²دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد همدان

چکیده

جنگ ترکیبی به عنوان یکی از جدیدترین روش‌های پیکار در عصر حاضر در مناقشات کشورها شناخته می‌شود. جنگ غیرخطی، شورش محور و یا محدود از جمله عناوینی است که برای آن بکارگفته می‌شود. در جنگ روسیه و اوکراین که شامل ابعاد نظامی، سایبری، اطلاعاتی و غیره می‌شود، بکارگیری جنگ ترکیبی در اولویت عمل هر دو کشور قرار گرفته است. روسیه به عنوان یک قدرت بزرگ، ستیزی را با کشوری نه چندان مطرح در جنگ‌ها آغاز کرده که در کنار پیشرفت‌های خود به برخی از اهداف نیز دست نیافته است. کمک‌های غرب به اوکراین، تشکیل یگان‌های جنگ سایبریِ عملیاتی، جنگ اطلاعاتی، نفوذ و... همگی از مفاهیمی هستند که در این بین نقش ایفا می‌کنند. پژوهش حاضر به سوالی با این مضمون پاسخ خواهد داد که روند اقدامات، میزان قدرت روسیه و پیشرفت آن در جنگ ترکیبی علیه اوکراین تا چه اندازه موثر بوده است؟ فرضیه در قامت پاسخ به آن بیان داشته است، عواملی همچون برنامه ریزی ضعیف نظامی، آمادگی رزمی پایین، کمک های غرب در زمینه‌های مختلف آفندی، پدافندی و سایبری، نفوذ در بدنه نیروهای در حال جنگ همچون گروه واگنر، از جمله عواملی هستند که باعث فرسایشی شدن ارتش روسیه در جنگ اوکراین شده‌اند و در کنار پیشرفت‌ها، عقب افتادگی‌هایی را نیز برای روسیه به دنبال داشته‌اند. روش کیفی – تحلیلی، برپایه اسناد کتابخانه‌ای و مجلات معتبر علمیِ بین‌المللی، شیوه‌ای است که در نگارش این پژوهش بکارگرفته شده است. در نهایت یافته‌های طرح عنوان داشته است که روسیه به دلیل انجام برخی محاسبات غلط درگیر جنگی فرسایشی شده که در صورت نداشتن راه حلی معقول و مورد پسند، در باتلاق آن فرو خواهد رفت.

کلیدواژه‌ها

جنگ ترکیبی؛ روسیه؛ جنگ سایبر؛ اوکراین؛ جنگ شناختی

مراجع

 

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