بررسی توسعه منطقه‌ای از دولت‌های سوم تا یازدهم (1360-1392) در ایران

اقتصاد و توسعه منطقه ای

مقاله 1، دوره 26، شماره 17، مرداد 1398، صفحه 1-32   

نوع مقاله: مقالات پژوهشی

شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22067/erd.v26i17.72964

نویسندگان

عباس آزادی^{* 1}؛ سهراب دل انگیزان²؛ علی فلاحتی³

¹دانشگاه ایلام

²رازی کرمانشاه

³رازی

چکیده

مدل تصمیم گیری‌ چند شاخصه و نرم افزارتاپسیسنتایج حاکی از آن بود که حدود 74 درصد استان‌ها محروم و 24 درصد آن‌ها برخوردار هستند. بر اساس مدل خوشه‌ای، 6 خوشه برای توسعه یافتگی مناطق شکل گرفت که استان تهران و ایلام به ترتیب در صدر و انتهای جدول توسعه یافتگی کشور قرار گرفته‌اند. شاخص توسعه از ماتریسی با 21 شاخص و 151 زیر شاخص تشکیل شده است. " کارایی بودجه در توسعه" و "مدل برنامه ریزی منطقه‌ای" معرفی شده که استان‌ها بر اساس قدرت و ضعف مدیریت کارامد در منابع بودجه‌ای تفکیک شده‌اند. نرم افزار ایویوز و مدل پنل دیتا و تشکیل 3 مدل مستقل رگرسیونی برای هشت دولت مستقل به این نتیجه رسیدیم که توسعه به عنوان متغیر وابسته از متغیرهای مستقل؛ هزینه‌جاری (حجم دولت)، هزینه‌ عمرانی و بودجه کل، تاثیر پذیر است و بر این اساس افزایش حجم دولت 12 برابر بودجه کل، بر توسعه تأثیر منفی داشته است و افزایش بودجه عمرانی مانند بودجه کل ولی 10 برابر بیشتر از آن بر توسعه اثر مثبت داشته است.

کلیدواژه‌ها

: توسعه؛ اقتصاد منطقه‌ای؛ توسعه منطقه‌ای؛ دولت؛ تمرکز‌زدایی؛ تصمیم گیری چند شاخصه

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