The Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Export Demand for Apple and Potato (The Main Developing Producer and Exporting Countries)

مجله اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی

Article 5, Volume 27, Issue 3, October 2013, Pages 204-212   

Document Type: Research Article

DOI: 10.22067/jead2.v0i0.29539

Authors

M.A. Falahi^* ; M. Homayounifar; Z. Yavari

Economics Department, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad

Abstract

As the world trade is growing, exchange rate acts as a bridge between different economies and its volatility can affect price level, output, exports and imports. The purpose of this study is to investigate the effects of real exchange rate volatility on the export demand for the two products of apple and potato in the nine developing counteries of producing and exporting the two products during the period of 1992-2009 years.To achieve the goal, using Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) model, the real exchange rate volatility was estimated. Then the effects of exchange rate volatility on the export demand for apple and potato were analysed based on the panel data approach. The results indicate positive effects of real exchange rate and negative effects of real exchange rate volatility on the export demand. The weighted average income of importing countries has a positive effect and the relative export price of apple and potato has a negative effect on the export demand.

Keywords

Exchange rate volatility; Export demand; Apple and potato; ARCH model; Panel data JEL: F31; Q17 Classification