Modeling & Analysisng of Economic Behaviour of Insurance Acceptance of Wheat crop by using of Thinking System Approach

مجله اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی

Article 3, Volume 28, Issue 2, July 2014, Pages 125-137   

Document Type: Research Article

DOI: 10.22067/jead2.v1391i7.25824

Authors

H. Balali^{* 1}; M. Motaghed²

¹Rural Development, Economic of Agriculture, Agriculture Faculty, Bu Ali Sina University

²graduated at Tehran university

Abstract

Unsustainability and precarious conditions of agricultural production have caused this sector be associated with risk . Crops insurance is efficient tool for controlling and reducing production and market risk and stabilizing farmers' income. In this study, the thinking system approach by using of I Think software is used for analyzing and modeling of the effects of different alternatives of policies on wheat insurance acceptance. The results show that the decision making process of insurance acceptance is function of some variables including of probability of brooz khesarat, amount of brooz khesarat, share of farmer’s insurance payment, gross return of fermers and maximum tahood of bimegar payments. Also, by increasing of the probability of brooz khesarat the number of insurance acceptance will increaseal production have caused this sector be associated with risk . Crops insurance is efficient tool for controlling and reducing production and market risk and stabilizing farmers' income. In .

Keywords

Keywords: Economic Modelling; Wheat Insurance; Thinking System Approach; Hamedan