کاربرد شبکه بیزین در بررسی تأثیر بهره‌وری کشاورزی و محیط کسب‌وکار بر شاخص تولید غذا (امنیت غذایی) در ایران

اقتصاد و توسعه کشاورزی

مقاله 4، دوره 34، شماره 2 - شماره پیاپی 48، تیر 1399، صفحه 163-177   

نوع مقاله: مقالات پژوهشی

شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22067/jead2.v34i2.86033

نویسندگان

سمیه نقوی^{* 1}؛ عباس میرزایی²

¹دانشگاه علوم کشاورزی و منابع طبیعی خوزستان

²دانشگاه شیراز

چکیده

امنیت غذایی، یکی از محورهای رشد و توسعه اقتصادی و از اهداف مهم هر کشور محسوب می­شود. با توجه به اهمیت بخش کشاورزی در امنیت غذایی، در این مطالعه، با استفاده از شبکه بیزین به بررسی تأثیر بهره­وری کشاورزی و محیط کسب و کار بر شاخص تولید غذا در ایران در دوره زمانی 1381-1396 پرداخته شد. نتایج نشان داد متغیرهای بهره­وری کشاورزی و محیط کسب و کار تأثیر مثبت بر شاخص تولید غذا دارند. همچنین، نتایج تحلیل حساسیت شبکه بیزین نشان داد بیشترین متغیر تأثیرگذار بر شاخص تولید غذا، متغیر بهره­وری کشاورزی و پس از آن بهره­وری آب در بخش کشاورزی می­باشد. بنابراین، اعمال سیاست هایی به منظور کاهش هزینه تولید، افزایش بهره وری تولیدکنندگان محصولات کشاورزی و تشویق سرمایه گذاری بخش خصوصی در بخش کشاورزی، می­توانند در جهت هدفمندسازی سیاست های حمایتی بخش کشاورزی در راستای امنیت غذایی مؤثر باشند.

کلیدواژه‌ها

امنیت غذایی؛ بهره وری کشاورزی؛ بهره وری آب؛ محیط کسب و کار

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