بررسی تأثیر سرمایه فکری بر رشد اقتصادی ایران (الگوی پویایی سیستم)

اقتصاد و توسعه منطقه ای

مقاله 2، دوره 27، شماره 19، خرداد 1399، صفحه 19-48   

نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی

شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22067/erd.2020.39492

نویسندگان

عفت عسگری صیمره¹؛ محمد رضا آرمان مهر^{* 2}

¹کارشناسی ارشد اقتصاد، دانشگاه صنعتی شاهرود

²استادیار اقتصاد دانشگاه صنعتی شاهرود

چکیده

سرمایه فکری توانایی انتقال دانش و دارایی­های ناملموس غیرمالی به منابع ایجاد ثروت و پیشرفت است. سرمایه فکری دارایی­ دانش‌محور است که رشد و توسعه کشور را پایه­ریزی می­کند. این تحقیق تأثیر سرمایه فکری بر رشد اقتصادی ایران را با استفاده از مدل پویایی سیستم موردبررسی قرار می­دهد. مدل پویایی سیستم یکی از روش­های علمی برای مدل­های پیچیده­ای چون سیستم پویای غیرخطی است؛ ازاین‌رو برای نظارت و ارزیابی اثرات سرمایه فکری بر رشد اقتصادی مناسب است. دورۀ موردمطالعه در این پژوهش 1394-1380 و شبیه‌سازی آن تا سال 1410 در نظر گرفته شده است. نتایج به دست آمده از مدل پویایی سیستم حاکی از تأثیر مثبت و اندک سرمایه فکری بر رشد اقتصادی ایران است که این نتیجه بر اساس مدل DOLS نیز تأیید شده است. به نظر می‌رسد علت اندک بودن تأثیر سرمایه فکری بر رشد به خاطر عدم فراهم بودن زیرساخت­ها و شرایط مکمل باشد که می­توان با برنامه­ریزی­ها و سیاست­های مناسب آن را فراهم نمود.

کلیدواژه‌ها

دارایی های ناملموس؛ سرمایه فکری؛ مدل پویایی سیستم

مراجع

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