تأثیر کیفیت نهادی و ریسک سیاسی بر توسعه گردشگری در کشورهای منا با استفاده از الگوی جاذبه توسعه یافته

پژوهش ‎های جغرافیای سیاسی

مقاله 6، دوره 6، شماره 3 - شماره پیاپی 23، آبان 1400، صفحه 102-117   

نوع مقاله: مقالات علمی -پژوهشی

شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22067/pg.2021.27250.0

نویسندگان

بهروز صادقی عمروآبادی^{* 1}؛ مجید نجات‌ پور²؛ لیلا کیانی³

¹استادیار اقتصاد دانشگاه شهید چمران اهواز، اهواز، ایران

²استادیار گروه علوم سیاسی، دانشگاه جامع امام حسین، تهران، ایران

³کارشناسی ارشد جغرافیا و برنامه‎ریزی گردشگری، دانشگاه خوارزمی، تهران، ایران

چکیده

امروزه گردشگری تبدیل به یک صنعت بزرگ و در حال رشد در جهان شده است. سهم قابل توجه صنعت گردشگری و ​​وابستگی فزاینده اقتصادها به درآمد آن، تجزیه و تحلیل دقیق عوامل و گرایشهای اساسی این صنعت را ضروری می سازد. نهادها، هنجارهای رسمی و غیررسمی هستند که چگونگی رفتار افراد با یکدیگر را تعیین می‌کنند و ریسک سیاسی و کیفیت نهادی به عنوان نهادهای یک جامعه می­توانند از طریق هزینه­های گردشگری بر صنعت گردشگری تاثیرگذار باشند. در این مطالعه، تأثیر کیفیت نهادی و ریسک سیاسی بر گردشگری در قالب چندین الگوی جاذبه توسعه یافته، که به ابزاری استاندارد برای تحلیل جریان تجارت/گردشگری تبدیل شده است، مورد بررسی قرار می­گیرد. روش تحقیق توصیفی - تحلیلی و با بهره­گیری از داده­های پانل و روش رگرسیونی انجام شده است. جامعه آماری شامل مطالعه 19 کشور منا طی دوره زمانی 2008 تا 2019 است. نتایج تحقیق نشان می­دهد که اثر کیفیت نهادی و ریسک سیاسی بر توسعه گردشگری در کشورهای منا مثبت و معنادار است. همچنین در بین چند الگوی جاذبه مطالعه، روش برآوردگر پواسون شبه راست نمایی دارای بالاترین ضریب تعیین و قدرت توضیح دهندگی است.

کلیدواژه‌ها

کیفیت نهادی؛ ریسک سیاسی؛ گردشگری؛ کشورهای منا؛ الگوی جاذبه

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