Climate Risk Management (CRM) and the Necessitate for Formulate and ImPlement the National Adaptation Plan (NAPs)

آب و توسعه پایدار

Article 9, Volume 9, Issue 1 - Serial Number 23, June 2022, Pages 85-94   

Document Type: Review Article

DOI: 10.22067/jwsd.v9i1.2111.1095

Authors

Azar Zarrin^{* 1}; Abbasali Dadashi-Roudbari²

¹Associate Professor, Department of Geography, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Iran

²Postdoctoral Research Associate of Climatology, Department of Geography, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Iran

Abstract

Climate risk management (CRM) is an organized approach that combines climate events, trends, prediction, and projection in development-related decisions to maximize benefits and minimize potential losses. Climate change changes the characteristics of risks and, hence, increases the uncertainty of the occurrence of risks and thus forces to redefine traditional ways of crisis management. The historical experience of the occurrence of climate hazards, as we see these days in Iran in the form of devastating floods and persistent droughts, may no longer be a good basis for crisis management. Therefore, if we want development to be based on adaptation, we must consider observable trends and long-term projections by climate models. The Climate Risk Index (CRI) is one of the items examined in this paper. Iran's CRI index score in 2019 was 27 and its global CRI ranking was 18. The CRI is significantly increasing compared to the 20-year average (2000-2020), which indicates Iran's high climatic risk. Accordingly, the national adaptation plans (NAPs), as well as the establishment of a management system compatible with climate change, drought management plan, and improving water productivity should be the basis of the country's macro-plans such as national land management plans.

Keywords

Climate Change; Climate Risk Management (CRM); Climate Risk Index (CRI); Iran

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